Spanish La Liga
Sunday 14th May 2017 – 7:00pm
La Liga leaders Barcelona look to keep their slender advantage over Real Madrid with a convincing victory as they travel to out-of-form Las Palmas.
Las Palmas Recent Form
Las Palmas currently sit fourteenth in La Liga and have nothing much but pride to play for.
They have lost six of their last eight games, with just one victory in that time, and have failed to score a single goal in their last three matches. Fifteen goals conceded in their last five games shows how poor they have been defensively and it seems they are just going through the motions until the end of the season.
Barcelona Recent Form
Barcelona are only top of the table on goal difference and know they must win both of their remaining games if they are to stand any chance of winning the title again.
They have won their last five games, scoring twenty goals in the process. A shock defeat at Malaga at the beginning of April is their only defeat in nine league games. In fact, they have only suffered two defeats in La Liga in their last twenty-nine games.
In attack, they have been ruthless all season, scoring 108 goals in 36 games to average three goals per game for the campaign. They have only failed to score twice in the league this season, both times against Malaga.
Head to Head Record
Barcelona won the most recent meeting between these teams 5-0 in January this year.
Overall, they have only met seven times since 2000 with Las Palmas never winning a game. Barcelona have won five and there have been two draws. Both of those draws came in the 2001/02 season, with Barcelona winning the three most recent meetings.
In terms of an aggregate score, Barcelona have scored fifteen goals in the seven meetings while Las Palmas have only found the net four times.
Betting Odds and Predictions
Barcelona must win this game and in our opinion they will, convincingly. The bookmakers agree, with Ladbrokes pricing the visitors as 1/12 favourites. The home side are 20/1 and the draw is priced at 10/1.
So, with such a wide gap between the teams in terms of odds to win the game, you will need to look for the best value in other markets.
We think we have found a great value bet, by betting on both teams not to score at odds of 27/20. It’s 4/7 for both teams to score and Barcelona have only kept one clean sheet in their last six matches. However, Las Palmas haven’t scored in their last three, have only ever scored four goals against Barcelona, and were hammered 5-0 in the previous meeting. Therefore, backing Both Teams to Score (NO) is worth a punt here.
Luis Suarez opened the scoring the last time these teams met and is 5/2 with Ladbrokes (Click here for Review) to score the first goal here. He is also 3/10 to score any time during the match.
Lionel Messi has scored Barcelona’s first goal in three of their last five games and is also 5/2 to score first and 3/10 to score anytime.
Backing either player to score more than one goal should be a solid bet, with both priced at 6/5 to score 2+ goals and 16/5 to net a hat-trick.
It was 5-0 to Barcelona the last time these teams met and that same score in this match is priced at 12/1.
Barcelona to be leading at half time and then winning the match offers decent odds of 2/5. If you think Las Palmas can keep the visitors awesome attack at bay for the first half, it’s 15/4 to be a draw at half time and Barcelona to win.
There isn’t much value to be found by backing Over 2.5 goals in this match but Barcelona to win and Over 3.5 goals is a decent 2/5.
Top Betting Tip
We think Barcelona will win this game by at least a two or three goal margin but there isn’t much value to be had backing them to win. It’s always a bigger risk backing a correct score, so we have looked for value in our top betting tip for mobile betting.
Therefore, our top betting tip in this match is Both Teams to Score (NO) at odds of 27/20 at Ladbrokes. More Betting Tips under: www.online-betting.org/betting-tips